Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 7.773278 8.762710 9.792097 10.939854 12.180692 13.478625 14.935803
2024-10-20 6.064641 7.438789 8.951403 10.727015 12.741142 14.942160 17.516289
2024-10-27 4.860811 6.379469 8.126764 10.259125 12.764219 15.587717 18.983850
2024-11-03 4.285904 5.947224 7.928311 10.420932 13.428883 16.898449 21.158414
2024-11-10 3.835201 5.599846 7.773041 10.581669 14.050029 18.129481 23.224585
2024-11-17 3.337231 5.133270 7.418109 10.450010 14.278386 18.865486 24.687025
2024-11-24 2.985615 4.818574 7.220265 10.482974 14.683730 19.797912 26.377235
2024-12-01 2.657136 4.500230 6.986761 10.442481 14.974982 20.576357 27.874076
2024-12-08 2.382864 4.229805 6.792438 10.431110 15.286312 21.369372 29.385910
2024-12-15 2.330969 4.276619 7.029370 10.995709 16.349882 23.119868 32.109603
2024-12-22 2.110993 4.049594 6.864689 10.999754 16.666415 23.916489 33.637414
2024-12-29 2.061315 4.079936 7.064644 11.506975 17.657011 25.587915 36.290429
2025-01-05 1.951171 4.008928 7.117157 11.814978 18.395671 26.959123 38.600391
2025-01-12 1.709457 3.701083 6.799584 11.581614 18.386929 27.349983 39.653148
2025-01-19 1.434452 3.306309 6.321344 11.087868 17.993664 27.212599 40.003903
2025-01-26 1.336185 3.210744 6.299560 11.258838 18.525949 28.309742 41.976099
2025-02-02 1.246381 3.121297 6.280323 11.428694 19.055263 29.405868 43.955713
2025-02-09 1.105004 2.919610 6.065415 11.289572 19.133674 29.885629 45.117337
2025-02-16 1.008890 2.794782 5.968487 11.324407 19.458690 30.701442 46.731621
2025-02-23 0.908585 2.649805 5.827404 11.281616 19.664424 31.350760 48.124496
2025-03-02 0.822494 2.523986 5.710475 11.269599 19.910678 32.054937 49.594613
2025-03-09 0.833513 2.609374 5.968697 11.866030 21.072340 34.050715 52.839119
2025-03-16 0.758650 2.496110 5.865165 11.870301 21.343104 34.796235 54.381990